Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.206182 0.239395 0.278106 0.327023 0.387853 0.461908 0.560287
2025-02-16 0.156220 0.197570 0.251723 0.329785 0.442860 0.606572 0.873558
2025-02-23 0.127390 0.171143 0.233507 0.332942 0.496022 0.770765 1.316019
2025-03-02 0.108283 0.152238 0.219096 0.334657 0.545040 0.950953 1.926572
2025-03-09 0.094046 0.136991 0.205764 0.332758 0.585512 1.136673 2.735299
2025-03-16 0.082497 0.123571 0.192108 0.325715 0.612560 1.310297 3.737936
2025-03-23 0.075980 0.117068 0.188576 0.336137 0.680089 1.627839 5.765123
2025-03-30 0.068411 0.107571 0.177842 0.329117 0.704688 1.848807 7.950946
2025-04-06 0.063546 0.102065 0.173456 0.334297 0.762477 2.227640 12.320845
2025-04-13 0.058416 0.095391 0.165681 0.329915 0.792949 2.544105 17.959509
2025-04-20 0.055023 0.091484 0.162755 0.336187 0.858381 3.085325 30.422640
2025-04-27 0.052354 0.088604 0.161448 0.346144 0.941600 3.838563 58.351398
2025-05-04 0.049638 0.085392 0.159116 0.353459 1.023200 4.755910 124.803385
2025-05-11 0.047371 0.082830 0.157856 0.363640 1.124210 6.057074 349.634132
2025-05-18 0.045035 0.079869 0.155258 0.369480 1.213697 7.562716 1289.551755
2025-05-25 0.042742 0.076753 0.151851 0.372145 1.293263 9.304430 8826.874923
2025-06-01 0.040419 0.073346 0.147288 0.370176 1.351737 11.121810 436052.081970
2025-06-08 0.038008 0.069531 0.141259 0.362146 1.376185 12.687600 NaN
2025-06-15 0.036805 0.068216 0.141236 0.374149 1.520954 17.223272 NaN
2025-06-22 0.034773 0.064901 0.135747 0.366081 1.545155 19.779641 NaN
2025-06-29 0.033522 0.063222 0.134271 0.372039 1.664610 26.106844 NaN
2025-07-06 0.031917 0.060612 0.130050 0.367001 1.709635 31.171515 NaN
2025-07-13 0.030910 0.059288 0.129102 0.374215 1.851650 43.058832 NaN